This blog is mostly aimed at a source of criticism and fact checking for the blog 'real science' run by someone who goes by the name Steven Goddard. It is intended that material presented here is informative, neutral, impersonal and well sourced such that any of my claims can be checked and criticized in their own right if necessary.

Tuesday, 3 September 2013

Regional drought increase. 1988 News article.

Response to the following:

Steven quotes a news article about Hansen, a climate scientist.(

It does look like Steven is right, according to the NOAA,  there does seem to be little or no trend in the USA for severe droughts ( measured by the modified Palmer drought indices. But the problem is, I don't know exactly what Hansen was saying because I cannot find the original source to the news article (although a 1988 paper did exist it is now apparently inaccessible). I do think this is important to check, as it is unclear from reading the newspaper article whether hansen was referring to global or just US trends - there was a mention of mid and low latitudes which is also somewhat ambiguous without a quantitative definition, this is why I need the original paper. Finally it is necessary to look at exactly what analysis Hansen was doing, what data sources/models e.c.t. and if necessary appropriately peer review 25 years later. With time models and theories are refined in science, that is the natural process. However ridicule is not helpful in this process, even if the original model turned out to be flawed which I will have to retain judgement on in view of the lack of original source material that I can find anyway.

1 comment:

  1. I'm sure that because Hansen is talking global warming and about Mid Latitudes he is talking about earth, and the mid latitudes don't even include the United States;

    So showing a graph of the US is a typical con job.

    Have droughts increased in the mid latitudes? Appears so;

    Drought hasn't discernibly increased in the US but the fact that Goddard cherry picks a specific month and year should be a give away that he wants to make it look like it isn't as bad as it once was.